AI's Price Crash Meets Its Cost Problem
Bloomberg's markets column notes token prices are falling fast even as the hardware behind AI keeps getting pricier, and investors are trying to work out who absorbs the gap.
In the past ten days alone, a mysterious free model called Ox Alpha matched near-frontier performance with no known builder, and OpenAI cut its flagship model's price for the third time in a month. That's a warning sign for the trillion-dollar infrastructure bet: the price of AI is collapsing, while the cost of building it is not, and equity investors have spent the summer trying to work out who gets caught in between.
If the product you're selling gets cheaper every month but the chips, power and data centers behind it don't, someone in the chain — labs, cloud providers, or investors — eats the difference. The token-price gauge this column flagged as a warning signal back in July has kept sliding since — intelligence, as a product, is deflating in real time.
Finance: Margin compression at the model layer is now a live earnings risk, not a theoretical one — worth watching in the next round of hyperscaler and AI-lab results.
Do this: Nothing to do yet — just watch how OpenAI, Anthropic and the hyperscalers address margins in upcoming earnings and IPO filings.