Meta's $145B AI spending now rivals national military budgets
Meta plans up to $145 billion in capital expenditure this year, roughly double 2025's $72.2 billion, with total 2026 expenses projected as high as $169 billion.
This isn't a one-off splurge — capex has roughly doubled year over year since 2023 ($28B → $39B → $72B → $145B), and Meta, Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft together are on track to spend around $730 billion on AI this year, up from earlier estimates of $600 billion. That level of sustained spending only a handful of companies can match — putting Meta's outlay above every country's military budget except the US, China and Russia — reshapes who can compete in AI at all, and who simply becomes a customer of it.
The AI infrastructure race now runs on capital few can raise, which means fewer companies will build foundational AI and more will rent it — making the terms of that rental (price, access, lock-in) a business risk worth tracking even if you never touch a GPU.
Finance: This spending is increasingly debt-financed across the sector, so watch balance sheets and credit terms at these firms as closely as their AI product news — a slowdown in returns could hit financing costs before it hits headlines.
Managers: If your company's roadmap depends on a specific AI vendor's compute or APIs, that vendor's spending pace is now a supply-chain dependency — worth a line in your own risk planning.
Do this: If your team depends on a major cloud/AI vendor, ask procurement or IT what contractual protections exist against price hikes or capacity constraints — this quarter, not after the next earnings call.